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 TrendLines  Research  ...   Long Term Perspectives by Freddy Hutter

 

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[New!] 2008/Nov Race for the Whitehouse - Delegate & Electoral College Vote Tracking

[New!]  MP Riding Projection for Federal (Canada) 2009 Election

[New!]  Pakistan National Assembly 2008 Election Projection

[New!]   MP Seat Projection for 2010 UK General Election for the House of Commons


  Russian Presidency ~ Sentiment Projection for March 2nd 2008 Election :

A Run-off will be held March 23rd if the lead candidate fails to achieve at least a 50% majority.

 Honourable mention for "top 10" finishes among contenders along the way go to:  Bogdanov, Kasyanov, Glazyev, Yavlinsky, Luzhkov, Gryzlov & Rogozin.

   President Putin has overwhelming popularity but is barred from a third mandate by the Constitution.

   PM Zubkov is presently Prime Minister but has dropped out of the race; as has Deputy PM Ivanov.

   Dmitry Medvedev is one of two Deputy PMs & Chairman of Gazprom



June 30th 2007 - TrendLines is pleased to introduce our Russian Sentiment Projection for the Presidential Election scheduled for March 2008.  As the weeks go by we'll elaborate further on our methodology and musings.  First round voting will be augmented with a run-off Election between the top two vote getters.  Vladimir Putin is constitutionally prohibited from running for a third mandate.

Our Projection is based on Opinion data mainly from the Yury Lavada Analytical Centre and builds on our mostly successful predictions in the Yukon, Quebec, the past two Canadian Federal Elections & Electoral College results for the 2004 USA Presidential Election.



 

March 1st 2007 - Please note that the TrendLines Federal Riding Projections will re-commence on April 5th !!

Evalina and i were fortunate to meet PM Stephen Harper during his visit to the Yukon to open the Canada Winter Games last month.  The PM has cast aside his ideological bias in recent months to facilitate governance rather than Party preference.  It is a strategy that has untold ramifications wrt gaining new sentiment while alienating some core support.



2007)

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Beware the Lunatic Fringe

 

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